This Workshop aims to bring together researchers and professionals interested
in the intersection of Bayesian statistics and causal analysis. The goal is to
explore how to quantify uncertainty in the estimation of causal effects and improve
the robustness of AI systems.
This Workshop will provide an informal environment for discussing:
Modeling of Directed Acyclical Graphs (DAGs) under a Bayesian framework.
Quantification of uncertainty in causal effect estimation.
Applications of counterfactuals in public health, economics, and dynamic systems.
Bayesian Causal Inference represents the cutting edge in data-driven decision-making.
Unlike traditional machine learning approaches that focus on statistical associations 𝑃 (𝑌 ∣ 𝑋),
this approach allows for the modeling of interventions through the do(𝑋) operator,
answering questions about what would happen if we intervene in the system.
The competitive advantage of this technical framework lies in three pillars:
- Treatment of Uncertainty: In public policy or healthcare contexts, a point
estimate is not enough. The Bayesian approach provides a full probability
distribution for causal effects, allowing for robust risk assessment.
- Incorporation of Prior Knowledge: Allows for the integration of expert judgment
and prior studies through the use of informative priors, which is vital for scenarios
with limited observational data.
- Counterfactual Modeling: Enables the construction of models that can imagine
scenarios that never occurred, allowing for extreme personalization in
recommendation systems and precision medicine.